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  #1  
Old 11-06-2009, 06:51 PM
Jason Jason is offline
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Default Canadian job losses in October

Canada lost 43,000 jobs in October, which is twice the pro-rated number lost in US. Obviously lots of people in Canada are highly delusional judging by the surging housing market

http://www.chtv.com/ch/cheknews/story.html?id=2192117
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  #2  
Old 11-06-2009, 09:53 PM
Rickson9 Rickson9 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jason View Post
Canada lost 43,000 jobs in October, which is twice the pro-rated number lost in US. Obviously lots of people in Canada are highly delusional judging by the surging housing market
That, or the people who have been predicting an RE crash in the face of years of consistently increasing prices are out to lunch. One or the other anyway.

In addition, there is no data to suggest that unemployment is correlated whatsoever with real estate. I would also propose that it would be difficult to believe that the rise in RE values are due to the rabid buying by hordes of the unemployed; so to mention unemployment with regards to 'surging housing market' is just another tool in the fear playbook.

Anecdotally, none of our friends have had any problem finding a job.
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Last edited by Rickson9; 11-09-2009 at 05:18 AM.
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  #3  
Old 11-08-2009, 11:48 PM
Elli Davis Elli Davis is offline
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That sure is a lot. Stuff like this always happens when we start feeling confidential about the end of recession etc.
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  #4  
Old 11-12-2009, 04:55 PM
trent trent is offline
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Originally Posted by Rickson9 View Post
In addition, there is no data to suggest that unemployment is correlated whatsoever with real estate.
Yeah sure, unemployed people buy overpriced houses like crazy. After all ever increasing housing prices is their last ticket to financial survival
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  #5  
Old 11-14-2009, 04:53 PM
Elli Davis Elli Davis is offline
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Originally Posted by trent View Post
Yeah sure, unemployed people buy overpriced houses like crazy. After all ever increasing housing prices is their last ticket to financial survival
Lol, nicely put. I seriously did laugh out loud at this post. Thanks for making my mood a lot better.
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  #6  
Old 11-15-2009, 07:09 AM
Rickson9 Rickson9 is offline
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Default Unemployment never peaks during a recession

With regards to the OP re: unemployment numbers.

[4:30]

The unemployment rate is the most lagging economic indicator and has never peaked during a recession. It has always peaked well after a recession has been over.

The historical average is that the unemployment rate peaks 6 months after a recession is long gone.

http://tinyurl.com/y8nh69c
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Last edited by Rickson9; 11-15-2009 at 07:15 AM.
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  #7  
Old 11-20-2009, 05:06 PM
Canadian Canadian is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rickson9 View Post
With regards to the OP re: unemployment numbers.

[4:30]

The unemployment rate is the most lagging economic indicator and has never peaked during a recession. It has always peaked well after a recession has been over.

The historical average is that the unemployment rate peaks 6 months after a recession is long gone.

http://tinyurl.com/y8nh69c
That's fine but the unemployment is not peaking, and I don't see it peaking for the next 18 months. After that there is no guarantee that we are going back to pre-bubble levels of employment with all the jobs shipped and still shipping to Asia...
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  #8  
Old 11-21-2009, 03:58 AM
Rickson9 Rickson9 is offline
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Originally Posted by Canadian View Post
That's fine but the unemployment is not peaking, and I don't see it peaking for the next 18 months. After that there is no guarantee that we are going back to pre-bubble levels of employment with all the jobs shipped and still shipping to Asia...
It's difficult to make predictions. Especially about the future.

Nobody predicted the real estate and stock markets to make the gains they did in 2009 either.
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  #9  
Old 11-24-2009, 05:23 PM
Canadian Canadian is offline
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Here are the facts about unemployment. You make your own conclusions.

http://www.financialpost.com/story.html?id=2260102
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  #10  
Old 11-25-2009, 10:11 AM
Elli Davis Elli Davis is offline
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Originally Posted by Canadian View Post
Here are the facts about unemployment. You make your own conclusions.

http://www.financialpost.com/story.html?id=2260102
Thanks, seems interesting. Gonna read it now.
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